Flawed reasoning

八月 1, 2003

So what if Karl Popper changed his mind about induction early in his career ("Popper 'falsified' old ideas", THES, July 25)? What is important is the innovative anti-inductivist argument that he subsequently created.

Your report makes the common mistake of implying that the idea "all swans are white" can be proven false by the sighting of a black swan.

A decision as to whether or not a theory has been falsified is always a matter of judgement, and judgement is potentially flawed.

Falsification is not a route to certain knowledge of what is not true; there is no proof of falsehood in the empirical realm You also conflate Popper's early work on falsification with his critique of induction. On page 1 of Objective Knowledge, he said he had "reached the solution (to the problem of induction) in 19 or thereabouts". He did not claim to have done so in 1919.

Joanna Swann
King's College London

请先注册再继续

为何要注册?

  • 注册是免费的,而且十分便捷
  • 注册成功后,您每月可免费阅读3篇文章
  • 订阅我们的邮件
注册
Please 登录 or 注册 to read this article.
ADVERTISEMENT